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2025 Q1 Market Commentary: So, This Is Why We Diversify?

Just two days after the first quarter of 2025 ended, President Trump announced sweeping tariffs on countries around the world. These tariffs were significantly higher and more widespread than anyone expected. This led to a sharp sell-off in global equity markets in the ensuing days. We have written a separate post about current market conditions, and you can read that here. While the current market volatility might feel more urgent, we still believe it’s important to review what happened in the first quarter, even though it already seems like a distant memory.

Tariffs

This year was already off to a rocky start in the US equity markets, as I point out in my first quarter market commentary. Then came “Liberation Day” on April 2nd, when President Trump announced significant tariffs on imports from countries all over the world. I’m not going to get into the weeds on what tariffs are or why most economists agree these are going to be harmful to our economy.

2024 Q4 Market Commentary: Extremes

Heading into 2024, we were coming off a banner year in the markets. The US stock market was up over 26% in 2023, international stocks were up over 10%, and even bonds were up over 5%. With a big election on the horizon, many investors expressed concern that these strong returns couldn’t possibly continue. The wars in Ukraine and the Middle East were ongoing, and it seemed clear that market volatility had to come back. The average expectation for 2024, according to top Wall Street strategists, was a gain of 1.9% for 2024. And just like last year, those experts were wrong.

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Kenya: A Journey of Connection

I recently had a chance to travel to Kenya for the first time on a retreat hosted by our daughter, Jessie (FloyoFit). While we have been to Africa twice, this time was unique in that my 3-year-old granddaughter, Gracie, was part of the 22-person trip. We spent time in Nairobi, on safari in the Maasai Mara, and remote Lamu Island off the coast of Kenya in the Indian Ocean. Jessie’s retreats always bring together an interesting mix of attendees, plenty of yoga and paddle boarding, and genuinely unique cultural experiences. This one was a fantastic trip on many levels and there were a couple of life lessons I got from it.

30th Anniverary

This month, we celebrate the 30th anniversary of the firm! Reaching this milestone has gotten me thinking about how well the firm we have created is aligned with my original vision and what has changed in these years. While I was a partner in a nice local CPA firm, I knew I wanted to serve clients in a different way and with a different focus. It was not an easy step to take at age 36 (as my wife Ellen will confirm) with our oldest of three children getting ready to start college soon. But I had a clear vision of what I thought clients needed.

The CTA and BOI Reporting to FinCEN

We have previously alerted you to a new reporting requirement for small businesses as a result of the Corporate Transparency Act that was enacted in January 2021. We initially took a wait and see approach to the new reporting requirements in hopes that they would be delayed or waived. Despite a Supreme Court ruling in March that the Act is unconstitutional, it is becoming increasingly unlikely that there will be any relief from this requirement before the January 1, 2025 deadline to file. Therefore, we are advising all clients to review the rules to determine if you might be required to file. Even if you aren't a small business owner, if you ever set up an LLC for your Schedule C business or for a rental property, you might need to file and the penalties for not filing can be severe. This article outlines everything you need to know.